Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts supports a high of 30–32°C for Jinan on September 22 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where daytime maxima typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s amid subsiding air masses and minimal cloud cover. Multiple runs show tight agreement with low precipitation risk and dew points indicating dry conditions, minimizing uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. A rapid, unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement anomaly at the official station could theoretically lower readings, though current guidance assigns negligible odds to such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日济南气温最高？
9月22日济南气温最高？
26°C或更高 99%
16°C或以下 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C或更高
99%
26°C或更高 99%
16°C或以下 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
16°C或以下
$13 交易量
4%
17°C
$13 交易量
4%
18°C
$13 交易量
4%
19°C
$13 交易量
4%
20°C
$13 交易量
4%
21°C
$13 交易量
4%
22°C
$13 交易量
4%
23°C
$13 交易量
4%
24°C
$13 交易量
4%
25°C
$13 交易量
4%
26°C或更高
$1,166 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts supports a high of 30–32°C for Jinan on September 22 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where daytime maxima typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s amid subsiding air masses and minimal cloud cover. Multiple runs show tight agreement with low precipitation risk and dew points indicating dry conditions, minimizing uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. A rapid, unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement anomaly at the official station could theoretically lower readings, though current guidance assigns negligible odds to such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,297结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts supports a high of 30–32°C for Jinan on September 22 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where daytime maxima typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s amid subsiding air masses and minimal cloud cover. Multiple runs show tight agreement with low precipitation risk and dew points indicating dry conditions, minimizing uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. A rapid, unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement anomaly at the official station could theoretically lower readings, though current guidance assigns negligible odds to such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,297结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETStrong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts supports a high of 30–32°C for Jinan on September 22 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where daytime maxima typically reach the upper 20s to low 30s amid subsiding air masses and minimal cloud cover. Multiple runs show tight agreement with low precipitation risk and dew points indicating dry conditions, minimizing uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. A rapid, unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement anomaly at the official station could theoretically lower readings, though current guidance assigns negligible odds to such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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