Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 82-83°F (37%) and 84-85°F (31.5%) as near-equals for Miami International Airport's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model outputs clustering in the low-to-mid 80s amid a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent highs near 81-83°F on April 1-3 under partly sunny skies and east-southeast winds of 10-15 kt align with early April climatological normals around 82°F, but subtle model divergences in sea breeze onset timing, afternoon cloud cover, and boundary layer mixing could tip outcomes by 1-2°F. NOAA updates and new 12Z model runs expected April 4-5 will refine probabilities before resolution based on official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on April 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 6?
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 13%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 13%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 82-83°F (37%) and 84-85°F (31.5%) as near-equals for Miami International Airport's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model outputs clustering in the low-to-mid 80s amid a persistent high-pressure ridge. Recent highs near 81-83°F on April 1-3 under partly sunny skies and east-southeast winds of 10-15 kt align with early April climatological normals around 82°F, but subtle model divergences in sea breeze onset timing, afternoon cloud cover, and boundary layer mixing could tip outcomes by 1-2°F. NOAA updates and new 12Z model runs expected April 4-5 will refine probabilities before resolution based on official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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