Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 82-83°F (35%) and 80-81°F (31.5%) as top outcomes for Miami's March 26 high, reflecting a strengthening subtropical high pressure ridge fostering above-normal temperatures averaging 80.5°F historically. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could moderate peaks to 80-81°F by enhancing low-level cooling, while delayed inland progression allows 82-83°F under persistent southerly winds and low dewpoints around 65°F. Recent GFS runs show slight upward trend from prior 80°F bias, but model spread of ±2°F underscores uncertainty ahead of afternoon convection risks; monitor 12Z updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月26日迈阿密的最高温度?
3月26日迈阿密的最高温度?
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 11%
$15,924 交易量
$15,924 交易量
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90°F或更高
1%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 11%
$15,924 交易量
$15,924 交易量
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 82-83°F (35%) and 80-81°F (31.5%) as top outcomes for Miami's March 26 high, reflecting a strengthening subtropical high pressure ridge fostering above-normal temperatures averaging 80.5°F historically. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could moderate peaks to 80-81°F by enhancing low-level cooling, while delayed inland progression allows 82-83°F under persistent southerly winds and low dewpoints around 65°F. Recent GFS runs show slight upward trend from prior 80°F bias, but model spread of ±2°F underscores uncertainty ahead of afternoon convection risks; monitor 12Z updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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