Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on June 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 3?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$186,489 交易量
$186,489 交易量
2026-06-03
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$186,489 交易量
$186,489 交易量
2026-06-03
17°C or below
$1,894 交易量
No
18°C
$1,940 交易量
No
19°C
$4,413 交易量
No
20°C
$3,054 交易量
No
21°C
$26,727 交易量
No
22°C
$101,560 交易量
No
23°C
$7,422 交易量
No
24°C
$15,824 交易量
Yes
25°C
$12,586 交易量
No
26°C
$7,160 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$3,910 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$186,489结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$186,489结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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