Recent short-term forecast models from sources such as AccuWeather indicate daytime maxima in Panama City, Panama, reaching 32–34°C on August 9, exceeding the long-term August average of 29–30°C and positioning 33°C as the market leader at 46% implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions with morning insolation under limited early cloud cover allow greater surface heating and humidity buildup typical of the wet season before afternoon convection develops, supporting peaks near or above 33°C in consensus runs. Thunderstorm timing and any revisions in steering patterns remain key variables that could cap highs at 32°C or push toward 34°C, with traders incorporating historical analogs of similar August patterns where official observations have resolved in this range. Updated model guidance ahead of the day will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日巴拿马城气温最高?
33°C 46%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 5%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
27%
33°C
46%
34°C
24%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 46%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 5%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
27%
33°C
46%
34°C
24%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecast models from sources such as AccuWeather indicate daytime maxima in Panama City, Panama, reaching 32–34°C on August 9, exceeding the long-term August average of 29–30°C and positioning 33°C as the market leader at 46% implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions with morning insolation under limited early cloud cover allow greater surface heating and humidity buildup typical of the wet season before afternoon convection develops, supporting peaks near or above 33°C in consensus runs. Thunderstorm timing and any revisions in steering patterns remain key variables that could cap highs at 32°C or push toward 34°C, with traders incorporating historical analogs of similar August patterns where official observations have resolved in this range. Updated model guidance ahead of the day will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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