Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models position a 24°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 24, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns and minimal frontal activity expected through midweek. Traders assign over 70% combined probability to this narrow range, consistent with historical September variability and the absence of significant upstream perturbations that could alter the trajectory. Updated guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日巴黎气温最高？
9月24日巴黎气温最高？
24°C 42%
23°C 25%
25°C 24%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
25%
24°C
42%
25°C
24%
26°C
9%
27°C
6%
28°C或更高
6%
24°C 42%
23°C 25%
25°C 24%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
4%
21°C
$0 交易量
4%
22°C
$0 交易量
9%
23°C
$4 交易量
25%
24°C
$4 交易量
42%
25°C
$136 交易量
24%
26°C
$9 交易量
9%
27°C
$0 交易量
6%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models position a 24°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 24, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns and minimal frontal activity expected through midweek. Traders assign over 70% combined probability to this narrow range, consistent with historical September variability and the absence of significant upstream perturbations that could alter the trajectory. Updated guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models position a 24°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 24, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns and minimal frontal activity expected through midweek. Traders assign over 70% combined probability to this narrow range, consistent with historical September variability and the absence of significant upstream perturbations that could alter the trajectory. Updated guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models position a 24°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 24, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns and minimal frontal activity expected through midweek. Traders assign over 70% combined probability to this narrow range, consistent with historical September variability and the absence of significant upstream perturbations that could alter the trajectory. Updated guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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