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icon for 旧金山6月21日的最高温度?

旧金山6月21日的最高温度?

icon for 旧金山6月21日的最高温度?

旧金山6月21日的最高温度?

68-69°F 100%

59°F或更低 <1%

60-61°F <1%

62-63°F <1%

Polymarket

$55,799 交易量

68-69°F 100%

59°F或更低 <1%

60-61°F <1%

62-63°F <1%

Polymarket

$55,799 交易量

59°F或更低

$1,208 交易量

60-61°F

$4,385 交易量

62-63°F

$10,049 交易量

64-65°F

$9,179 交易量

66-67°F

$6,725 交易量

68-69°F

$6,538 交易量

70-71°F

$7,651 交易量

72-73°F

$3,855 交易量

74-75°F

$1,847 交易量

76-77°F

$1,383 交易量

78°F或更高

$2,980 交易量

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow as the dominant drivers keeping San Francisco's June 21 high likely in the mid-to-upper 60s, aligning with the closely matched market odds for 66-67°F and 70-71°F. This classic summer pattern brings stratus clouds and cool Pacific air that suppress daytime heating along the coast, consistent with climatological baselines where June highs at official stations average near 68-70°F amid frequent fog. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to steady winds and cloud cover, though slight variations in marine layer depth could shift outcomes into adjacent bins. Traders are weighting these verified atmospheric conditions heavily ahead of final forecast updates and official NWS resolution data tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,799
结束日期
2026-06-21
市场开放时间
Jun 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ET

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow as the dominant drivers keeping San Francisco's June 21 high likely in the mid-to-upper 60s, aligning with the closely matched market odds for 66-67°F and 70-71°F. This classic summer pattern brings stratus clouds and cool Pacific air that suppress daytime heating along the coast, consistent with climatological baselines where June highs at official stations average near 68-70°F amid frequent fog. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to steady winds and cloud cover, though slight variations in marine layer depth could shift outcomes into adjacent bins. Traders are weighting these verified atmospheric conditions heavily ahead of final forecast updates and official NWS resolution data tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,799
结束日期
2026-06-21
市场开放时间
Jun 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ET

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

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常见问题

"旧金山6月21日的最高温度?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"68-69°F",概率为 100%,其次是"59°F或更低",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"旧金山6月21日的最高温度?"已产生 $55.8K 的总交易量(自Jun 19, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"旧金山6月21日的最高温度?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"旧金山6月21日的最高温度?"的当前领先者是"68-69°F",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"59°F或更低",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"旧金山6月21日的最高温度?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。