Trader sentiment favors 70-71°F (26.5%) and 72-73°F (23.5%) for San Francisco's March 26 high, driven by NOAA's latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 69-72°F amid a building upper-level ridge and weakening marine layer. These closely matched bins reflect model consensus on above-normal warmth—historical late-March averages hover at 62-63°F—but diverge on peak timing: persistent offshore flow favors 72-73°F if coastal stratus burns off early, while lingering low clouds tilt toward 68-69°F. Recent 00z runs show slight upward tweaks, with 68-69°F holding at 22% on diurnal range uncertainty; watch afternoon boundary layer evolution via official SFO observations for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 26?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 26?
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 23%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 21%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
23%
74°F or higher
16%
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 23%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 21%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
23%
74°F or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 70-71°F (26.5%) and 72-73°F (23.5%) for San Francisco's March 26 high, driven by NOAA's latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 69-72°F amid a building upper-level ridge and weakening marine layer. These closely matched bins reflect model consensus on above-normal warmth—historical late-March averages hover at 62-63°F—but diverge on peak timing: persistent offshore flow favors 72-73°F if coastal stratus burns off early, while lingering low clouds tilt toward 68-69°F. Recent 00z runs show slight upward tweaks, with 68-69°F holding at 22% on diurnal range uncertainty; watch afternoon boundary layer evolution via official SFO observations for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题