Recent forecasts from sources including Time and Date and AccuWeather point to a peak near 30–31°C in São Paulo on August 18 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driven by a warm air mass advecting northward and enhanced urban heat retention. This aligns with observed highs of 28–31°C in preceding days, well above the August climatological average of 23–27°C. Market-implied odds favor 31°C as the modal outcome because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for further warming or cooling, with resolution hinging on official INMET or airport station maxima. Traders appear to discount outliers above 32°C absent stronger subtropical ridging.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月18日圣保罗的最高温度？
31°C 45%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
30%
31°C
45%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 45%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
24°C or below
$27 交易量
<1%
25°C
$27 交易量
<1%
26°C
$27 交易量
<1%
27°C
$27 交易量
1%
28°C
$101 交易量
4%
29°C
$120 交易量
6%
30°C
$128 交易量
30%
31°C
$432 交易量
45%
32°C
$67 交易量
16%
33°C
$45 交易量
4%
34°C or higher
$15 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Time and Date and AccuWeather point to a peak near 30–31°C in São Paulo on August 18 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driven by a warm air mass advecting northward and enhanced urban heat retention. This aligns with observed highs of 28–31°C in preceding days, well above the August climatological average of 23–27°C. Market-implied odds favor 31°C as the modal outcome because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for further warming or cooling, with resolution hinging on official INMET or airport station maxima. Traders appear to discount outliers above 32°C absent stronger subtropical ridging.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
交易量
$1,017结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Time and Date and AccuWeather point to a peak near 30–31°C in São Paulo on August 18 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driven by a warm air mass advecting northward and enhanced urban heat retention. This aligns with observed highs of 28–31°C in preceding days, well above the August climatological average of 23–27°C. Market-implied odds favor 31°C as the modal outcome because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for further warming or cooling, with resolution hinging on official INMET or airport station maxima. Traders appear to discount outliers above 32°C absent stronger subtropical ridging.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,017结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETRecent forecasts from sources including Time and Date and AccuWeather point to a peak near 30–31°C in São Paulo on August 18 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driven by a warm air mass advecting northward and enhanced urban heat retention. This aligns with observed highs of 28–31°C in preceding days, well above the August climatological average of 23–27°C. Market-implied odds favor 31°C as the modal outcome because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for further warming or cooling, with resolution hinging on official INMET or airport station maxima. Traders appear to discount outliers above 32°C absent stronger subtropical ridging.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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