Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-even implied probabilities to 68-69°F (24%) and 70-71°F (22%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service forecast ensembles amid a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent observations at Seattle-Tacoma Airport show early April highs near climatological normals of 57°F, but short-range GFS and ECMWF models project above-normal maxima due to subsidence warming, southerly flow, and reduced Puget Sound marine stratus. Differentiating factors include peak afternoon solar insolation under partly cloudy skies versus potential convective clouds capping temperatures, with 500 mb height anomalies varying by 20-30 meters across runs. New NOAA model updates daily through Sunday resolution could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月6日西雅图气温最高？
4月6日西雅图气温最高？
68-69°F 24%
70-71°F 22%
72-73°F 15%
66-67°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
59°F或以下
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
1%
78°F或更高
1%
68-69°F 24%
70-71°F 22%
72-73°F 15%
66-67°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
59°F或以下
$831 交易量
2%
60-61°F
$215 交易量
4%
62-63°F
$235 交易量
6%
64-65°F
$203 交易量
10%
66-67°F
$453 交易量
12%
68-69°F
$261 交易量
24%
70-71°F
$267 交易量
22%
72-73°F
$232 交易量
15%
74-75°F
$176 交易量
8%
76-77°F
$153 交易量
1%
78°F或更高
$195 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-even implied probabilities to 68-69°F (24%) and 70-71°F (22%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service forecast ensembles amid a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent observations at Seattle-Tacoma Airport show early April highs near climatological normals of 57°F, but short-range GFS and ECMWF models project above-normal maxima due to subsidence warming, southerly flow, and reduced Puget Sound marine stratus. Differentiating factors include peak afternoon solar insolation under partly cloudy skies versus potential convective clouds capping temperatures, with 500 mb height anomalies varying by 20-30 meters across runs. New NOAA model updates daily through Sunday resolution could shift odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,213结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-even implied probabilities to 68-69°F (24%) and 70-71°F (22%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service forecast ensembles amid a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent observations at Seattle-Tacoma Airport show early April highs near climatological normals of 57°F, but short-range GFS and ECMWF models project above-normal maxima due to subsidence warming, southerly flow, and reduced Puget Sound marine stratus. Differentiating factors include peak afternoon solar insolation under partly cloudy skies versus potential convective clouds capping temperatures, with 500 mb height anomalies varying by 20-30 meters across runs. New NOAA model updates daily through Sunday resolution could shift odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,213结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-even implied probabilities to 68-69°F (24%) and 70-71°F (22%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service forecast ensembles amid a developing upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent observations at Seattle-Tacoma Airport show early April highs near climatological normals of 57°F, but short-range GFS and ECMWF models project above-normal maxima due to subsidence warming, southerly flow, and reduced Puget Sound marine stratus. Differentiating factors include peak afternoon solar insolation under partly cloudy skies versus potential convective clouds capping temperatures, with 500 mb height anomalies varying by 20-30 meters across runs. New NOAA model updates daily through Sunday resolution could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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