NEA's 4-day outlook issued April 16 forecasts a 34°C high in Singapore on April 18 with afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions, but trader consensus favors 32°C at 36.5% implied probability—edging 33°C at 29.5%—due to frequent convective activity capping peaks via cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show 34.3°C today (April 16) at Pulau Ubin and a monthly high of 35.4°C on April 5, yet April climatology averages 32°C daily maxima, with showers on most afternoons limiting solar heating. Key differentiators include shower onset timing—early heavy rain suppresses to 31-32°C, while later lighter bursts allow 33-34°C amid low variable winds (5-10 km/h). Updated NEA guidance expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on April 18?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 18?
32°C 38%
33°C 30%
31°C 17%
30°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
17%
32°C
38%
33°C
30%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 38%
33°C 30%
31°C 17%
30°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
17%
32°C
38%
33°C
30%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
NEA's 4-day outlook issued April 16 forecasts a 34°C high in Singapore on April 18 with afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions, but trader consensus favors 32°C at 36.5% implied probability—edging 33°C at 29.5%—due to frequent convective activity capping peaks via cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show 34.3°C today (April 16) at Pulau Ubin and a monthly high of 35.4°C on April 5, yet April climatology averages 32°C daily maxima, with showers on most afternoons limiting solar heating. Key differentiators include shower onset timing—early heavy rain suppresses to 31-32°C, while later lighter bursts allow 33-34°C amid low variable winds (5-10 km/h). Updated NEA guidance expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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