Trader consensus has converged on 28°C as the daily maximum temperature in Taipei on June 14, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds. This positioning reflects real-time alignment between official observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and meteorological station data, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid typical early-summer conditions. June climatology in northern Taiwan features daytime highs averaging 30–32°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon transition, with high humidity, afternoon thundershowers, and modest day-to-day variability driven by cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant warming anomalies or clear-sky intensification that would push temperatures higher on this date. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or measurement revision could realistically alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日台北气温最高?
28°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$62,090 交易量
$62,090 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$62,090 交易量
$62,090 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus has converged on 28°C as the daily maximum temperature in Taipei on June 14, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds. This positioning reflects real-time alignment between official observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and meteorological station data, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid typical early-summer conditions. June climatology in northern Taiwan features daytime highs averaging 30–32°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon transition, with high humidity, afternoon thundershowers, and modest day-to-day variability driven by cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant warming anomalies or clear-sky intensification that would push temperatures higher on this date. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or measurement revision could realistically alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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