Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a high of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under partly cloudy skies and seasonal norms, with light winds limiting additional heating. This consensus, backed by consistent runs from agencies like the UK Met Office projecting a 33°C maximum, underpins the market's strong preference for that outcome. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, though recent conditions show a slight upward trend without extreme heatwave signals. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings; minor forecast revisions or localized sea-breeze effects could nudge readings to 34°C, but current observational trends and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日特拉维夫的最高温度?
33°C 91%
34°C 8%
35°C 1.0%
30°C or below <1%
$24,089 交易量
$24,089 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
91%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 91%
34°C 8%
35°C 1.0%
30°C or below <1%
$24,089 交易量
$24,089 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
91%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a high of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under partly cloudy skies and seasonal norms, with light winds limiting additional heating. This consensus, backed by consistent runs from agencies like the UK Met Office projecting a 33°C maximum, underpins the market's strong preference for that outcome. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, though recent conditions show a slight upward trend without extreme heatwave signals. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings; minor forecast revisions or localized sea-breeze effects could nudge readings to 34°C, but current observational trends and model agreement make such shifts unlikely before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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