Short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models, including the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes characteristic of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. These align with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent observations showing stable readings around 31–33°C with a modest +1.4°C departure from normal. Sea-breeze effects and absence of heatwave signals cap upside risk, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C while keeping 34°C as a secondary outcome. Updated model runs ahead of final verification will determine whether probabilities shift within this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日特拉维夫的最高温度?
33°C 65%
34°C 17%
32°C 15%
31°C 5%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
65%
34°C
17%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
34°C 17%
32°C 15%
31°C 5%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
65%
34°C
17%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models, including the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes characteristic of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. These align with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent observations showing stable readings around 31–33°C with a modest +1.4°C departure from normal. Sea-breeze effects and absence of heatwave signals cap upside risk, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C while keeping 34°C as a secondary outcome. Updated model runs ahead of final verification will determine whether probabilities shift within this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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