Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate a maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal boundary-layer mixing without strong heat advection. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (63.5% implied probability) and 31°C (31.5%), as minor day-to-day variations in daytime heating or cloud cover could shift the peak across that narrow threshold. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide climatological context, while recent regional heat stress warnings and isolated thunderstorms have not altered the coastal outlook. Updated model runs in the coming 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this temperature measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日特拉维夫的最高温度?
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
33°C 6%
30°C 2.6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
32%
32°C
64%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
33°C 6%
30°C 2.6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
32%
32°C
64%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate a maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal boundary-layer mixing without strong heat advection. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (63.5% implied probability) and 31°C (31.5%), as minor day-to-day variations in daytime heating or cloud cover could shift the peak across that narrow threshold. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide climatological context, while recent regional heat stress warnings and isolated thunderstorms have not altered the coastal outlook. Updated model runs in the coming 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this temperature measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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