Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models have converged on daytime maxima of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 18, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure system is expected to deliver mostly clear skies and light winds across the coastal plain, while sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C provide a moderating influence that caps extreme heating. These conditions align closely with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach about 30–31°C and exceed 33°C only infrequently. With resolution just two days away, traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS model cycles for any shifts in the ridge strength or onshore flow that could alter the peak by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日特拉维夫的最高温度？
8月18日特拉维夫的最高温度？
32°C 56%
31°C 33%
33°C 9%
30°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
33%
32°C
56%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 33%
33°C 9%
30°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
28°C or below
$15 交易量
2%
29°C
$35 交易量
2%
30°C
$143 交易量
3%
31°C
$339 交易量
33%
32°C
$711 交易量
56%
33°C
$97 交易量
9%
34°C
$105 交易量
2%
35°C
$15 交易量
2%
36°C
$10 交易量
2%
37°C
$136 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$542 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models have converged on daytime maxima of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 18, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure system is expected to deliver mostly clear skies and light winds across the coastal plain, while sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C provide a moderating influence that caps extreme heating. These conditions align closely with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach about 30–31°C and exceed 33°C only infrequently. With resolution just two days away, traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS model cycles for any shifts in the ridge strength or onshore flow that could alter the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,148结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models have converged on daytime maxima of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 18, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure system is expected to deliver mostly clear skies and light winds across the coastal plain, while sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C provide a moderating influence that caps extreme heating. These conditions align closely with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach about 30–31°C and exceed 33°C only infrequently. With resolution just two days away, traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS model cycles for any shifts in the ridge strength or onshore flow that could alter the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,148结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models have converged on daytime maxima of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 18, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure system is expected to deliver mostly clear skies and light winds across the coastal plain, while sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C provide a moderating influence that caps extreme heating. These conditions align closely with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach about 30–31°C and exceed 33°C only infrequently. With resolution just two days away, traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS model cycles for any shifts in the ridge strength or onshore flow that could alter the peak by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题