Recent forecast consensus from Met Office, Turkish State Meteorological Service, and European models points to clear skies and light winds over Ankara on the night of September 23–24, enabling strong radiative cooling after scattered showers on the 23rd. With Ankara’s ~900 m elevation and dry post-rain air mass, overnight lows are projected near 7–8 °C, comfortably above the 4 °C threshold yet well below 14 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, but subtle differences in cloud-cover timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, sustaining trader balance between the two leading binary outcomes while concentrating volume around the 6–9 °C cluster. Updated model runs and official 24-hour forecasts ahead of the 24th will be the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日安卡拉最低温度？
9月24日安卡拉最低温度？
4°C或以下 100%
14°C或更高 98%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
4°C或以下
100%
5°C
39%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
21%
9°C
20%
10°C
20%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C或更高
98%
4°C或以下 100%
14°C或更高 98%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
4°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
5°C
$0 交易量
39%
6°C
$0 交易量
40%
7°C
$0 交易量
40%
8°C
$0 交易量
21%
9°C
$0 交易量
20%
10°C
$0 交易量
20%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Met Office, Turkish State Meteorological Service, and European models points to clear skies and light winds over Ankara on the night of September 23–24, enabling strong radiative cooling after scattered showers on the 23rd. With Ankara’s ~900 m elevation and dry post-rain air mass, overnight lows are projected near 7–8 °C, comfortably above the 4 °C threshold yet well below 14 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, but subtle differences in cloud-cover timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, sustaining trader balance between the two leading binary outcomes while concentrating volume around the 6–9 °C cluster. Updated model runs and official 24-hour forecasts ahead of the 24th will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Met Office, Turkish State Meteorological Service, and European models points to clear skies and light winds over Ankara on the night of September 23–24, enabling strong radiative cooling after scattered showers on the 23rd. With Ankara’s ~900 m elevation and dry post-rain air mass, overnight lows are projected near 7–8 °C, comfortably above the 4 °C threshold yet well below 14 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, but subtle differences in cloud-cover timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, sustaining trader balance between the two leading binary outcomes while concentrating volume around the 6–9 °C cluster. Updated model runs and official 24-hour forecasts ahead of the 24th will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from Met Office, Turkish State Meteorological Service, and European models points to clear skies and light winds over Ankara on the night of September 23–24, enabling strong radiative cooling after scattered showers on the 23rd. With Ankara’s ~900 m elevation and dry post-rain air mass, overnight lows are projected near 7–8 °C, comfortably above the 4 °C threshold yet well below 14 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, but subtle differences in cloud-cover timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, sustaining trader balance between the two leading binary outcomes while concentrating volume around the 6–9 °C cluster. Updated model runs and official 24-hour forecasts ahead of the 24th will be the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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