Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS consensus point to overnight minimum temperatures in Helsinki on September 24 clustering near 9–11 °C under northerly flow and increasing cloud cover, keeping the market-implied probability highest for the 15 °C-or-higher bin while supporting secondary interest around 8 °C. Persistent mild advection from the Baltic has limited radiative cooling so far this month, with observed lows only occasionally dipping to 8 °C; historical September minima average near 8 °C but show high interannual variability. Model spread remains modest yet could widen with the next high-resolution updates expected within 24–48 hours, directly influencing resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日赫尔辛基最低气温?
15°C或更高 93%
5°C或以下 50%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
5°C或以下
50%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
33%
9°C
21%
10°C
36%
11°C
39%
12°C
16%
13°C
14%
14°C
13%
15°C或更高
93%
15°C或更高 93%
5°C或以下 50%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
5°C或以下
50%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
33%
9°C
21%
10°C
36%
11°C
39%
12°C
16%
13°C
14%
14°C
13%
15°C或更高
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS consensus point to overnight minimum temperatures in Helsinki on September 24 clustering near 9–11 °C under northerly flow and increasing cloud cover, keeping the market-implied probability highest for the 15 °C-or-higher bin while supporting secondary interest around 8 °C. Persistent mild advection from the Baltic has limited radiative cooling so far this month, with observed lows only occasionally dipping to 8 °C; historical September minima average near 8 °C but show high interannual variability. Model spread remains modest yet could widen with the next high-resolution updates expected within 24–48 hours, directly influencing resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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