**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Istanbul on September 3, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that threshold.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and surface pressures around 1015 hPa have limited radiative cooling while preventing significant advection of cooler air. Recent GFS runs and local meteorological updates align on a daily range of roughly 21–28°C, consistent with late-summer climatology slightly above the long-term September average minimum. With resolution imminent based on official station observations and no incoming fronts or precipitation expected through the night, the market-implied odds closely track the narrow uncertainty band around 21–22°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日伊斯坦布尔最低温度？
9月3日伊斯坦布尔最低温度？
22°C 87%
20°C 8%
21°C 7%
18°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
7%
22°C
87%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 87%
20°C 8%
21°C 7%
18°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
17°C or below
$425 交易量
<1%
18°C
$49 交易量
5%
19°C
$153 交易量
2%
20°C
$25 交易量
8%
21°C
$25 交易量
7%
22°C
$128 交易量
87%
23°C
$230 交易量
<1%
24°C
$369 交易量
<1%
25°C
$45 交易量
<1%
26°C
$507 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$90 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Istanbul on September 3, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that threshold.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and surface pressures around 1015 hPa have limited radiative cooling while preventing significant advection of cooler air. Recent GFS runs and local meteorological updates align on a daily range of roughly 21–28°C, consistent with late-summer climatology slightly above the long-term September average minimum. With resolution imminent based on official station observations and no incoming fronts or precipitation expected through the night, the market-implied odds closely track the narrow uncertainty band around 21–22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,045结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Istanbul on September 3, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that threshold.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and surface pressures around 1015 hPa have limited radiative cooling while preventing significant advection of cooler air. Recent GFS runs and local meteorological updates align on a daily range of roughly 21–28°C, consistent with late-summer climatology slightly above the long-term September average minimum. With resolution imminent based on official station observations and no incoming fronts or precipitation expected through the night, the market-implied odds closely track the narrow uncertainty band around 21–22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,045结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Istanbul on September 3, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that threshold.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and surface pressures around 1015 hPa have limited radiative cooling while preventing significant advection of cooler air. Recent GFS runs and local meteorological updates align on a daily range of roughly 21–28°C, consistent with late-summer climatology slightly above the long-term September average minimum. With resolution imminent based on official station observations and no incoming fronts or precipitation expected through the night, the market-implied odds closely track the narrow uncertainty band around 21–22°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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