Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 5 most likely between 11–13°C under clear skies and persistent southeasterly flow. High pressure and dry air advection support radiational cooling overnight, with early-morning readings near 11–12°C at representative stations before daytime warming resumes. This consensus, consistent across recent model runs with limited spread, explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly on those outcomes while assigning meaningful but lower probability to 9°C or below. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日开普敦最低气温？
9月5日开普敦最低气温？
9°C或以下 66%
15℃ 49%
12°C 31%
11°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
9°C或以下
66%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
31%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15℃
49%
16°C
14%
17°C
14%
18°C
13%
19°C或更高
-
9°C或以下 66%
15℃ 49%
12°C 31%
11°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
66%
10°C
$0 交易量
27%
11°C
$0 交易量
30%
12°C
$0 交易量
31%
13°C
$0 交易量
28%
14°C
$0 交易量
27%
15℃
$0 交易量
49%
16°C
$0 交易量
14%
17°C
$0 交易量
14%
18°C
$0 交易量
13%
19°C或更高
$2 交易量
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 5 most likely between 11–13°C under clear skies and persistent southeasterly flow. High pressure and dry air advection support radiational cooling overnight, with early-morning readings near 11–12°C at representative stations before daytime warming resumes. This consensus, consistent across recent model runs with limited spread, explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly on those outcomes while assigning meaningful but lower probability to 9°C or below. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 5 most likely between 11–13°C under clear skies and persistent southeasterly flow. High pressure and dry air advection support radiational cooling overnight, with early-morning readings near 11–12°C at representative stations before daytime warming resumes. This consensus, consistent across recent model runs with limited spread, explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly on those outcomes while assigning meaningful but lower probability to 9°C or below. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on September 5 most likely between 11–13°C under clear skies and persistent southeasterly flow. High pressure and dry air advection support radiational cooling overnight, with early-morning readings near 11–12°C at representative stations before daytime warming resumes. This consensus, consistent across recent model runs with limited spread, explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly on those outcomes while assigning meaningful but lower probability to 9°C or below. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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