**Forecast models for Istanbul on September 5, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driving the 45% implied probability for 17°C or below.** Clear conditions promote radiative cooling after sunset, with surface heat escaping efficiently to the atmosphere in the absence of cloud cover or significant moisture. Multiple sources, including local meteorological updates and international models, converge on daytime highs around 30–31°C and nighttime minima of 17–19°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread in exact minimum temperatures—arising from slight differences in wind speed, humidity profiles, or urban heat island effects—supports the clustered probabilities around 19–21°C while keeping odds for 27°C or higher near zero. Updated guidance as of September 4 shows stable high-pressure influence with no incoming fronts expected to alter the cooling pattern before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
9月5日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
17°C或以下 90%
18°C 50%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
17°C或以下
90%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C或更高
6%
17°C或以下 90%
18°C 50%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
18°C
$0 交易量
50%
19°C
$0 交易量
27%
20°C
$0 交易量
27%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
50%
23°C
$0 交易量
50%
24°C
$0 交易量
50%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C
$0 交易量
50%
27°C或更高
$5 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Istanbul on September 5, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driving the 45% implied probability for 17°C or below.**
Clear conditions promote radiative cooling after sunset, with surface heat escaping efficiently to the atmosphere in the absence of cloud cover or significant moisture. Multiple sources, including local meteorological updates and international models, converge on daytime highs around 30–31°C and nighttime minima of 17–19°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread in exact minimum temperatures—arising from slight differences in wind speed, humidity profiles, or urban heat island effects—supports the clustered probabilities around 19–21°C while keeping odds for 27°C or higher near zero. Updated guidance as of September 4 shows stable high-pressure influence with no incoming fronts expected to alter the cooling pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Istanbul on September 5, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driving the 45% implied probability for 17°C or below.**
Clear conditions promote radiative cooling after sunset, with surface heat escaping efficiently to the atmosphere in the absence of cloud cover or significant moisture. Multiple sources, including local meteorological updates and international models, converge on daytime highs around 30–31°C and nighttime minima of 17–19°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread in exact minimum temperatures—arising from slight differences in wind speed, humidity profiles, or urban heat island effects—supports the clustered probabilities around 19–21°C while keeping odds for 27°C or higher near zero. Updated guidance as of September 4 shows stable high-pressure influence with no incoming fronts expected to alter the cooling pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Forecast models for Istanbul on September 5, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 17–19°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driving the 45% implied probability for 17°C or below.** Clear conditions promote radiative cooling after sunset, with surface heat escaping efficiently to the atmosphere in the absence of cloud cover or significant moisture. Multiple sources, including local meteorological updates and international models, converge on daytime highs around 30–31°C and nighttime minima of 17–19°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread in exact minimum temperatures—arising from slight differences in wind speed, humidity profiles, or urban heat island effects—supports the clustered probabilities around 19–21°C while keeping odds for 27°C or higher near zero. Updated guidance as of September 4 shows stable high-pressure influence with no incoming fronts expected to alter the cooling pattern before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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