**Current forecast models from multiple agencies show Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 3 likely peaking near 26–28°C under stable high-pressure conditions and persistent northeasterly winds.** These flows, common in early autumn, moderate daytime heating while clear to partly cloudy skies limit convective development and keep precipitation chances near zero. Recent runs converge on afternoon highs of 26–27°C at representative stations, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward 26°C (56.5%) and secondary support for 25°C or 27°C. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide context, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than the prior two days. No major shifts in model guidance have emerged in the last 48 hours, keeping trader consensus aligned with official short-range forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
26°C 56%
25°C 21%
27°C 15%
28°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
21%
26°C
56%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 56%
25°C 21%
27°C 15%
28°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C or below
$120 交易量
<1%
22°C
$127 交易量
1%
23°C
$85 交易量
1%
24°C
$84 交易量
4%
25°C
$372 交易量
21%
26°C
$2,134 交易量
56%
27°C
$123 交易量
15%
28°C
$75 交易量
5%
29°C
$177 交易量
1%
30°C
$86 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$41 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from multiple agencies show Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 3 likely peaking near 26–28°C under stable high-pressure conditions and persistent northeasterly winds.** These flows, common in early autumn, moderate daytime heating while clear to partly cloudy skies limit convective development and keep precipitation chances near zero. Recent runs converge on afternoon highs of 26–27°C at representative stations, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward 26°C (56.5%) and secondary support for 25°C or 27°C. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide context, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than the prior two days. No major shifts in model guidance have emerged in the last 48 hours, keeping trader consensus aligned with official short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,424结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from multiple agencies show Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 3 likely peaking near 26–28°C under stable high-pressure conditions and persistent northeasterly winds.** These flows, common in early autumn, moderate daytime heating while clear to partly cloudy skies limit convective development and keep precipitation chances near zero. Recent runs converge on afternoon highs of 26–27°C at representative stations, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward 26°C (56.5%) and secondary support for 25°C or 27°C. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide context, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than the prior two days. No major shifts in model guidance have emerged in the last 48 hours, keeping trader consensus aligned with official short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,424结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Current forecast models from multiple agencies show Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 3 likely peaking near 26–28°C under stable high-pressure conditions and persistent northeasterly winds.** These flows, common in early autumn, moderate daytime heating while clear to partly cloudy skies limit convective development and keep precipitation chances near zero. Recent runs converge on afternoon highs of 26–27°C at representative stations, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward 26°C (56.5%) and secondary support for 25°C or 27°C. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide context, but the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than the prior two days. No major shifts in model guidance have emerged in the last 48 hours, keeping trader consensus aligned with official short-range forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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