Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 9°C in London on May 9, driven by verified Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the authoritative reference station—which recorded a screen minimum of 9°C around 04:00 amid light winds and partial cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event UKV and GFS model runs forecasting minima in the 8–10°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, consistent with early May climatology where London overnight lows typically cluster between 7–12°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-quality control, though a rare data audit revealing a lower reading at St James's Park or another official site could prompt revision; final resolution awaits Met Office daily summary confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月9日伦敦最低气温？
5月9日伦敦最低气温？
9°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$55,056 交易量
$55,056 交易量
2026-05-09
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或更高
否
9°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$55,056 交易量
$55,056 交易量
2026-05-09
4°C或以下
$9,880 交易量
否
5°C
$5,016 交易量
否
6°C
$1,991 交易量
否
7°C
$1,442 交易量
否
8°C
$2,854 交易量
否
9°C
$19,756 交易量
是
10°C
$6,125 交易量
否
11°C
$2,980 交易量
否
12°C
$1,216 交易量
否
13°C
$1,859 交易量
否
14°C或更高
$1,936 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 9°C in London on May 9, driven by verified Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the authoritative reference station—which recorded a screen minimum of 9°C around 04:00 amid light winds and partial cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event UKV and GFS model runs forecasting minima in the 8–10°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, consistent with early May climatology where London overnight lows typically cluster between 7–12°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-quality control, though a rare data audit revealing a lower reading at St James's Park or another official site could prompt revision; final resolution awaits Met Office daily summary confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$55,056结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 9°C in London on May 9, driven by verified Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the authoritative reference station—which recorded a screen minimum of 9°C around 04:00 amid light winds and partial cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event UKV and GFS model runs forecasting minima in the 8–10°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, consistent with early May climatology where London overnight lows typically cluster between 7–12°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-quality control, though a rare data audit revealing a lower reading at St James's Park or another official site could prompt revision; final resolution awaits Met Office daily summary confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$55,056结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 9°C in London on May 9, driven by verified Met Office observations from Heathrow Airport—the authoritative reference station—which recorded a screen minimum of 9°C around 04:00 amid light winds and partial cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event UKV and GFS model runs forecasting minima in the 8–10°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge, consistent with early May climatology where London overnight lows typically cluster between 7–12°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-quality control, though a rare data audit revealing a lower reading at St James's Park or another official site could prompt revision; final resolution awaits Met Office daily summary confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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