Recent Met Office and European model guidance, combined with observational data from London-area stations including Heathrow, has established a minimum temperature of 16°C for September 4, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light westerly winds and dew points near 10–12°C. This outcome aligns with the evening stabilization phase after daytime highs near 22°C, consistent with the seasonal transition and absence of significant cold advection. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect real-time trader aggregation of these verified readings and forecast consensus. A modest revision could occur only if post-processing adjustments from the official UK climate network alter the recorded minimum or if a different reference station is designated for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日伦敦最低气温？
9月4日伦敦最低气温？
16°C 100%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$23,950 交易量
$23,950 交易量
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
16°C 100%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$23,950 交易量
$23,950 交易量
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
$79 交易量
否
13°C
$102 交易量
否
14°C
$485 交易量
否
15°C
$1,534 交易量
否
16°C
$1,743 交易量
是
17°C
$3,089 交易量
否
18°C
$3,083 交易量
否
19°C
$4,849 交易量
否
20°C
$7,191 交易量
否
21°C
$1,353 交易量
否
22°C或更高
$442 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model guidance, combined with observational data from London-area stations including Heathrow, has established a minimum temperature of 16°C for September 4, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light westerly winds and dew points near 10–12°C. This outcome aligns with the evening stabilization phase after daytime highs near 22°C, consistent with the seasonal transition and absence of significant cold advection. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect real-time trader aggregation of these verified readings and forecast consensus. A modest revision could occur only if post-processing adjustments from the official UK climate network alter the recorded minimum or if a different reference station is designated for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$23,950结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model guidance, combined with observational data from London-area stations including Heathrow, has established a minimum temperature of 16°C for September 4, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light westerly winds and dew points near 10–12°C. This outcome aligns with the evening stabilization phase after daytime highs near 22°C, consistent with the seasonal transition and absence of significant cold advection. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect real-time trader aggregation of these verified readings and forecast consensus. A modest revision could occur only if post-processing adjustments from the official UK climate network alter the recorded minimum or if a different reference station is designated for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,950结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent Met Office and European model guidance, combined with observational data from London-area stations including Heathrow, has established a minimum temperature of 16°C for September 4, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light westerly winds and dew points near 10–12°C. This outcome aligns with the evening stabilization phase after daytime highs near 22°C, consistent with the seasonal transition and absence of significant cold advection. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect real-time trader aggregation of these verified readings and forecast consensus. A modest revision could occur only if post-processing adjustments from the official UK climate network alter the recorded minimum or if a different reference station is designated for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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