Persistent monsoon activity, including a low-pressure system over eastern India and steady moisture inflow from the Bay of Bengal, has produced widespread cloud cover and showers across Uttar Pradesh, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C in Lucknow. Recent observations show overnight lows of 25–26°C amid 25–35 mm daily rainfall, consistent with active monsoon trough positioning. Numerical weather models diverge slightly on exact clearing timing and rainfall totals for September 4, creating tight market clustering around 26°C (50.5%) and 27°C (46.5%) as traders weigh the balance between continued suppression of cooling versus any brief clear-sky window that could allow a dip toward 24–25°C. Official IMD guidance through early September emphasizes these humid, overcast conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日勒克瑙的最低温度?
21°C或以下 88%
24°C 87%
31°C或更高 87%
28°C 67%
21°C或以下
88%
22°C
9%
23°C
65%
24°C
87%
25°C
45%
26°C
51%
27°C
47%
28°C
67%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
87%
21°C或以下 88%
24°C 87%
31°C或更高 87%
28°C 67%
21°C或以下
88%
22°C
9%
23°C
65%
24°C
87%
25°C
45%
26°C
51%
27°C
47%
28°C
67%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon activity, including a low-pressure system over eastern India and steady moisture inflow from the Bay of Bengal, has produced widespread cloud cover and showers across Uttar Pradesh, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C in Lucknow. Recent observations show overnight lows of 25–26°C amid 25–35 mm daily rainfall, consistent with active monsoon trough positioning. Numerical weather models diverge slightly on exact clearing timing and rainfall totals for September 4, creating tight market clustering around 26°C (50.5%) and 27°C (46.5%) as traders weigh the balance between continued suppression of cooling versus any brief clear-sky window that could allow a dip toward 24–25°C. Official IMD guidance through early September emphasizes these humid, overcast conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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