Current forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and supporting models point to an overnight low near 6–10°C on September 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the single digits Celsius, consistent with the historical average low of 10.5°C for the date while allowing for cooler outcomes if dew points drop further. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could raise readings toward 11–12°C. Traders appear to price in some upside uncertainty around the exact minimum, reflected in elevated probabilities for 14°C or higher alongside clustered interest near 8–10°C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings ahead of the night will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月12日慕尼黑最低气温？
14°C或更高 85%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
18%
5°C
35%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
24%
9°C
39%
10°C
23%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
16%
14°C或更高
85%
14°C或更高 85%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
$0 交易量
18%
5°C
$0 交易量
35%
6°C
$0 交易量
39%
7°C
$0 交易量
39%
8°C
$0 交易量
24%
9°C
$0 交易量
39%
10°C
$0 交易量
23%
11°C
$0 交易量
18%
12°C
$0 交易量
18%
13°C
$0 交易量
16%
14°C或更高
$0 交易量
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and supporting models point to an overnight low near 6–10°C on September 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the single digits Celsius, consistent with the historical average low of 10.5°C for the date while allowing for cooler outcomes if dew points drop further. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could raise readings toward 11–12°C. Traders appear to price in some upside uncertainty around the exact minimum, reflected in elevated probabilities for 14°C or higher alongside clustered interest near 8–10°C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings ahead of the night will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and supporting models point to an overnight low near 6–10°C on September 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the single digits Celsius, consistent with the historical average low of 10.5°C for the date while allowing for cooler outcomes if dew points drop further. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could raise readings toward 11–12°C. Traders appear to price in some upside uncertainty around the exact minimum, reflected in elevated probabilities for 14°C or higher alongside clustered interest near 8–10°C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings ahead of the night will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and supporting models point to an overnight low near 6–10°C on September 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the single digits Celsius, consistent with the historical average low of 10.5°C for the date while allowing for cooler outcomes if dew points drop further. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could raise readings toward 11–12°C. Traders appear to price in some upside uncertainty around the exact minimum, reflected in elevated probabilities for 14°C or higher alongside clustered interest near 8–10°C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings ahead of the night will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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