Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月18日巴黎最低气温？
7月18日巴黎最低气温？
17°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,841 交易量
$21,841 交易量
2026-07-18
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
17°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,841 交易量
$21,841 交易量
2026-07-18
12°C或以下
$667 交易量
否
13°C
$466 交易量
否
14°C
$692 交易量
否
15°C
$1,033 交易量
否
16°C
$1,698 交易量
否
17°C
$3,551 交易量
是
18°C
$7,919 交易量
否
19°C
$2,809 交易量
否
20°C
$1,042 交易量
否
21°C
$1,644 交易量
否
22°C或更高
$317 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$21,841结束日期
2026-07-18市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,841结束日期
2026-07-18市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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