**Current model consensus and real-time observations from Paris-area stations support a minimum temperature of 13°C on September 17, 2026.** GFS and other guidance show overnight lows stabilizing near this level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and surface pressures around 29.9–30.0 inHg, consistent with the seasonal norm of roughly 11–12°C but moderated by recent mild conditions. Official monitoring (Météo-France and airport data) indicates the overnight period avoided significant radiational cooling or stronger advection that would drop readings further. The market’s 99% implied probability on 13°C reflects this tight clustering of forecasts and early-day measurements. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night clearing and calm wind that allows temperatures to fall below 12°C, or a revision in the official reporting station’s final minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日巴黎最低气温？
9月17日巴黎最低气温？
13°C 99%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
$5,521 交易量
$5,521 交易量
2026-09-17
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
13°C 99%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
$5,521 交易量
$5,521 交易量
2026-09-17
8°C或以下
$41 交易量
1%
9°C
$41 交易量
1%
10°C
$367 交易量
1%
11°C
$1,062 交易量
1%
12°C
$1,256 交易量
1%
13°C
$1,783 交易量
99%
14°C
$789 交易量
<1%
15°C
$55 交易量
<1%
16°C
$41 交易量
<1%
17°C
$46 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$41 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus and real-time observations from Paris-area stations support a minimum temperature of 13°C on September 17, 2026.** GFS and other guidance show overnight lows stabilizing near this level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and surface pressures around 29.9–30.0 inHg, consistent with the seasonal norm of roughly 11–12°C but moderated by recent mild conditions. Official monitoring (Météo-France and airport data) indicates the overnight period avoided significant radiational cooling or stronger advection that would drop readings further. The market’s 99% implied probability on 13°C reflects this tight clustering of forecasts and early-day measurements. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night clearing and calm wind that allows temperatures to fall below 12°C, or a revision in the official reporting station’s final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,521结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus and real-time observations from Paris-area stations support a minimum temperature of 13°C on September 17, 2026.** GFS and other guidance show overnight lows stabilizing near this level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and surface pressures around 29.9–30.0 inHg, consistent with the seasonal norm of roughly 11–12°C but moderated by recent mild conditions. Official monitoring (Météo-France and airport data) indicates the overnight period avoided significant radiational cooling or stronger advection that would drop readings further. The market’s 99% implied probability on 13°C reflects this tight clustering of forecasts and early-day measurements. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night clearing and calm wind that allows temperatures to fall below 12°C, or a revision in the official reporting station’s final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,521结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Current model consensus and real-time observations from Paris-area stations support a minimum temperature of 13°C on September 17, 2026.** GFS and other guidance show overnight lows stabilizing near this level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and surface pressures around 29.9–30.0 inHg, consistent with the seasonal norm of roughly 11–12°C but moderated by recent mild conditions. Official monitoring (Météo-France and airport data) indicates the overnight period avoided significant radiational cooling or stronger advection that would drop readings further. The market’s 99% implied probability on 13°C reflects this tight clustering of forecasts and early-day measurements. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night clearing and calm wind that allows temperatures to fall below 12°C, or a revision in the official reporting station’s final minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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