Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show clear skies and light northeast winds over Qingdao on September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 19–22°C under typical early-September humidity levels around 60–70%. This stable high-pressure pattern, following recent mild conditions with daytime highs near 28–30°C, underpins trader consensus favoring 24°C or higher at 41% implied probability, while the near-even split with 14°C or below at 38.5% reflects model sensitivity to small variations in cloud cover or wind that could shift the low by several degrees. Historical September baselines near 18°C provide context, but short-term stability limits major deviations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日青岛最低气温？
9月4日青岛最低气温？
24°C或更高 93%
14°C或以下 78%
16°C 50%
20°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
78%
15°C
25%
16°C
50%
17°C
38%
18°C
26%
19°C
47%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
2%
23°C
48%
24°C或更高
93%
24°C或更高 93%
14°C或以下 78%
16°C 50%
20°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
78%
15°C
$0 交易量
25%
16°C
$0 交易量
50%
17°C
$0 交易量
38%
18°C
$0 交易量
26%
19°C
$0 交易量
47%
20°C
$0 交易量
48%
21°C
$0 交易量
48%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
48%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show clear skies and light northeast winds over Qingdao on September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 19–22°C under typical early-September humidity levels around 60–70%. This stable high-pressure pattern, following recent mild conditions with daytime highs near 28–30°C, underpins trader consensus favoring 24°C or higher at 41% implied probability, while the near-even split with 14°C or below at 38.5% reflects model sensitivity to small variations in cloud cover or wind that could shift the low by several degrees. Historical September baselines near 18°C provide context, but short-term stability limits major deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show clear skies and light northeast winds over Qingdao on September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 19–22°C under typical early-September humidity levels around 60–70%. This stable high-pressure pattern, following recent mild conditions with daytime highs near 28–30°C, underpins trader consensus favoring 24°C or higher at 41% implied probability, while the near-even split with 14°C or below at 38.5% reflects model sensitivity to small variations in cloud cover or wind that could shift the low by several degrees. Historical September baselines near 18°C provide context, but short-term stability limits major deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show clear skies and light northeast winds over Qingdao on September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 19–22°C under typical early-September humidity levels around 60–70%. This stable high-pressure pattern, following recent mild conditions with daytime highs near 28–30°C, underpins trader consensus favoring 24°C or higher at 41% implied probability, while the near-even split with 14°C or below at 38.5% reflects model sensitivity to small variations in cloud cover or wind that could shift the low by several degrees. Historical September baselines near 18°C provide context, but short-term stability limits major deviations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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