Recent forecast models from agencies like China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international sources such as Yr.no show stable high-pressure conditions over Qingdao, with clear skies and northeast winds of 3-5 levels expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling on September 3. This setup typically produces minimum temperatures near 19-21°C, aligning with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where sea breezes limit extremes. Recent observations from September 1-2 confirm similar patterns, with no incoming fronts or typhoon influences to alter trajectories. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in wind speed or humidity could shift the exact low by 1-2°C, sustaining market-implied odds favoring outcomes at or below 17°C amid trader assessments of forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日青岛最低气温？
9月3日青岛最低气温？
14℃或以下 96%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
14℃或以下
96%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
2%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C或更高
47%
14℃或以下 96%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
14℃或以下
$5 交易量
96%
15°C
$0 交易量
26%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
27%
18°C
$0 交易量
27%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$4 交易量
2%
21°C
$5 交易量
49%
22°C
$5 交易量
49%
23°C
$5 交易量
49%
24°C或更高
$5 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international sources such as Yr.no show stable high-pressure conditions over Qingdao, with clear skies and northeast winds of 3-5 levels expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling on September 3. This setup typically produces minimum temperatures near 19-21°C, aligning with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where sea breezes limit extremes. Recent observations from September 1-2 confirm similar patterns, with no incoming fronts or typhoon influences to alter trajectories. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in wind speed or humidity could shift the exact low by 1-2°C, sustaining market-implied odds favoring outcomes at or below 17°C amid trader assessments of forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$29结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international sources such as Yr.no show stable high-pressure conditions over Qingdao, with clear skies and northeast winds of 3-5 levels expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling on September 3. This setup typically produces minimum temperatures near 19-21°C, aligning with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where sea breezes limit extremes. Recent observations from September 1-2 confirm similar patterns, with no incoming fronts or typhoon influences to alter trajectories. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in wind speed or humidity could shift the exact low by 1-2°C, sustaining market-implied odds favoring outcomes at or below 17°C amid trader assessments of forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies like China's Central Meteorological Observatory and international sources such as Yr.no show stable high-pressure conditions over Qingdao, with clear skies and northeast winds of 3-5 levels expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling on September 3. This setup typically produces minimum temperatures near 19-21°C, aligning with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where sea breezes limit extremes. Recent observations from September 1-2 confirm similar patterns, with no incoming fronts or typhoon influences to alter trajectories. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in wind speed or humidity could shift the exact low by 1-2°C, sustaining market-implied odds favoring outcomes at or below 17°C amid trader assessments of forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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