Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 25°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, supported by scattered showers that limit overnight radiational cooling and maintain high humidity levels typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent warm, moist air masses combined with urban heat island effects in the region reduce the likelihood of sharper drops, while model consensus and current observations around 24–26°C align with the market's strong implied probability for 25°C. Traders are also weighing minor forecast revisions from ongoing monitoring, as any shift in cloud cover or precipitation timing could nudge the recorded low toward 24°C or hold it at 26°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
8月15日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
25°C 61%
24°C 26%
26°C 7%
23°C 3%
$14,553 交易量
$14,553 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
26%
25°C
55%
26°C
18%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
25°C 61%
24°C 26%
26°C 7%
23°C 3%
$14,553 交易量
$14,553 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
$347 交易量
<1%
21°C
$331 交易量
<1%
22°C
$507 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,277 交易量
3%
24°C
$2,817 交易量
26%
25°C
$3,025 交易量
55%
26°C
$2,229 交易量
18%
27°C
$3,056 交易量
<1%
28°C
$321 交易量
<1%
29°C
$301 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$342 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 25°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, supported by scattered showers that limit overnight radiational cooling and maintain high humidity levels typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent warm, moist air masses combined with urban heat island effects in the region reduce the likelihood of sharper drops, while model consensus and current observations around 24–26°C align with the market's strong implied probability for 25°C. Traders are also weighing minor forecast revisions from ongoing monitoring, as any shift in cloud cover or precipitation timing could nudge the recorded low toward 24°C or hold it at 26°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$14,553结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 25°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, supported by scattered showers that limit overnight radiational cooling and maintain high humidity levels typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent warm, moist air masses combined with urban heat island effects in the region reduce the likelihood of sharper drops, while model consensus and current observations around 24–26°C align with the market's strong implied probability for 25°C. Traders are also weighing minor forecast revisions from ongoing monitoring, as any shift in cloud cover or precipitation timing could nudge the recorded low toward 24°C or hold it at 26°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,553结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 25°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, supported by scattered showers that limit overnight radiational cooling and maintain high humidity levels typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Persistent warm, moist air masses combined with urban heat island effects in the region reduce the likelihood of sharper drops, while model consensus and current observations around 24–26°C align with the market's strong implied probability for 25°C. Traders are also weighing minor forecast revisions from ongoing monitoring, as any shift in cloud cover or precipitation timing could nudge the recorded low toward 24°C or hold it at 26°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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