Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 4 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent northeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and variable cloud cover from a lingering frontal boundary. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing daytime peaks near 29–31°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. Latest short-range guidance shows only modest night-to-night variation, supporting trader positioning around 26–27°C as the implied mode while assigning low probability to outliers below 25°C or above 28°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this assessment as the event window approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日上海最低气温？
9月4日上海最低气温？
27°C 47%
26°C 33%
25°C 8%
29°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
33%
27°C
47%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 47%
26°C 33%
25°C 8%
29°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
$30 交易量
1%
22°C
$20 交易量
1%
23°C
$20 交易量
1%
24°C
$75 交易量
3%
25°C
$217 交易量
8%
26°C
$376 交易量
33%
27°C
$662 交易量
47%
28°C
$0 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$94 交易量
1%
31°C或更高
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 4 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent northeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and variable cloud cover from a lingering frontal boundary. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing daytime peaks near 29–31°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. Latest short-range guidance shows only modest night-to-night variation, supporting trader positioning around 26–27°C as the implied mode while assigning low probability to outliers below 25°C or above 28°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this assessment as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,536结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 4 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent northeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and variable cloud cover from a lingering frontal boundary. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing daytime peaks near 29–31°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. Latest short-range guidance shows only modest night-to-night variation, supporting trader positioning around 26–27°C as the implied mode while assigning low probability to outliers below 25°C or above 28°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this assessment as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,536结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicates Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 4 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent northeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and variable cloud cover from a lingering frontal boundary. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while suppressing daytime peaks near 29–31°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. Latest short-range guidance shows only modest night-to-night variation, supporting trader positioning around 26–27°C as the implied mode while assigning low probability to outliers below 25°C or above 28°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this assessment as the event window approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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