Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and regional models indicate a nighttime low of 28°C in Taipei on August 27, supporting the dominant market-implied probability near 98%. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical conditions, where urban heat retention and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show consistent guidance with minimal spread, though minor deviations in wind patterns or unexpected rainfall could lower readings by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh historical August baselines against the absence of cooling fronts or typhoon influences in the short-term outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日台北气温最低？
8月27日台北气温最低？
28°C 100.0%
27°C 3.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$2,923 交易量
$2,923 交易量
2026-08-27
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
27°C 3.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$2,923 交易量
$2,923 交易量
2026-08-27
22°C or below
$193 交易量
No
23°C
$45 交易量
No
24°C
$220 交易量
No
25°C
$52 交易量
No
26°C
$112 交易量
No
27°C
$638 交易量
No
28°C
$947 交易量
Yes
29°C
$341 交易量
No
30°C
$143 交易量
No
31°C
$105 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$127 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and regional models indicate a nighttime low of 28°C in Taipei on August 27, supporting the dominant market-implied probability near 98%. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical conditions, where urban heat retention and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show consistent guidance with minimal spread, though minor deviations in wind patterns or unexpected rainfall could lower readings by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh historical August baselines against the absence of cooling fronts or typhoon influences in the short-term outlook.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,923结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and regional models indicate a nighttime low of 28°C in Taipei on August 27, supporting the dominant market-implied probability near 98%. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical conditions, where urban heat retention and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show consistent guidance with minimal spread, though minor deviations in wind patterns or unexpected rainfall could lower readings by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh historical August baselines against the absence of cooling fronts or typhoon influences in the short-term outlook.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,923结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and regional models indicate a nighttime low of 28°C in Taipei on August 27, supporting the dominant market-implied probability near 98%. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical conditions, where urban heat retention and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show consistent guidance with minimal spread, though minor deviations in wind patterns or unexpected rainfall could lower readings by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh historical August baselines against the absence of cooling fronts or typhoon influences in the short-term outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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