**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C low in Taipei on August 30, with market-implied odds at 93%, reflecting consistent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and global models.** Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light easterly winds under typical late-August tropical conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little divergence, with lows holding in the 25–27°C range across multiple guidance sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend allowing greater heat loss or a shift in steering patterns introducing cooler air, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日台北气温最低？
8月30日台北气温最低？
26°C 94%
25°C 25%
24°C 5%
23°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
25%
26°C
93%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 94%
25°C 25%
24°C 5%
23°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
$197 交易量
1%
22°C
$167 交易量
1%
23°C
$277 交易量
2%
24°C
$27 交易量
5%
25°C
$0 交易量
25%
26°C
$51 交易量
93%
27°C
$270 交易量
<1%
28°C
$276 交易量
<1%
29°C
$45 交易量
<1%
30°C
$214 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$224 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C low in Taipei on August 30, with market-implied odds at 93%, reflecting consistent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and global models.** Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light easterly winds under typical late-August tropical conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little divergence, with lows holding in the 25–27°C range across multiple guidance sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend allowing greater heat loss or a shift in steering patterns introducing cooler air, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,747结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C low in Taipei on August 30, with market-implied odds at 93%, reflecting consistent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and global models.** Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light easterly winds under typical late-August tropical conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little divergence, with lows holding in the 25–27°C range across multiple guidance sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend allowing greater heat loss or a shift in steering patterns introducing cooler air, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,747结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C low in Taipei on August 30, with market-implied odds at 93%, reflecting consistent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and global models.** Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light easterly winds under typical late-August tropical conditions are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little divergence, with lows holding in the 25–27°C range across multiple guidance sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing trend allowing greater heat loss or a shift in steering patterns introducing cooler air, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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