Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship remains in partner testing months after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target, with internal refinements focused on long-horizon agentic tasks and coding performance. Frequent Gemini 3.x Flash releases, including the September 2026 3.8 variants with improved reasoning and token efficiency, have filled the interim while DeepMind advances its most ambitious pre-training run for Gemini 4. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, alongside historical patterns of frontier releases clustering in late-year windows, shapes trader focus on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or yields to an accelerated Gemini 4 timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,322,497 交易量
2026-10-15
September 30
10%
October 31
85%
10 月 15 日
48%
$1,322,497 交易量
September 30
$104,160 交易量
10%
October 31
$31,099 交易量
85%
10 月 15 日
$18,581 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship remains in partner testing months after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target, with internal refinements focused on long-horizon agentic tasks and coding performance. Frequent Gemini 3.x Flash releases, including the September 2026 3.8 variants with improved reasoning and token efficiency, have filled the interim while DeepMind advances its most ambitious pre-training run for Gemini 4. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, alongside historical patterns of frontier releases clustering in late-year windows, shapes trader focus on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or yields to an accelerated Gemini 4 timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,322,497结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 10:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship remains in partner testing months after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target, with internal refinements focused on long-horizon agentic tasks and coding performance. Frequent Gemini 3.x Flash releases, including the September 2026 3.8 variants with improved reasoning and token efficiency, have filled the interim while DeepMind advances its most ambitious pre-training run for Gemini 4. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, alongside historical patterns of frontier releases clustering in late-year windows, shapes trader focus on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or yields to an accelerated Gemini 4 timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,322,497结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 10:58 AM ETGoogle's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship remains in partner testing months after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target, with internal refinements focused on long-horizon agentic tasks and coding performance. Frequent Gemini 3.x Flash releases, including the September 2026 3.8 variants with improved reasoning and token efficiency, have filled the interim while DeepMind advances its most ambitious pre-training run for Gemini 4. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, alongside historical patterns of frontier releases clustering in late-year windows, shapes trader focus on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or yields to an accelerated Gemini 4 timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题