Google's next Gemini Pro large language model faces ongoing delays after the 3.5 Pro version was teased at I/O 2026 with a June target that slipped due to additional testing for agentic workflows, long-horizon tasks, and coding benchmarks. The company has instead maintained a rapid cadence of Flash variants, including Gemini 3.8 Flash releases in September 2026, while confirming that 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing without a firm public rollout date. Training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, reflecting competitive pressure from labs like OpenAI and Anthropic. Traders watch for any earnings call updates or developer announcements that could clarify timelines, as historical patterns show Pro releases trail Flash iterations and often encounter last-minute refinements before general availability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,361,498 交易量
2026-10-31
September 30
4%
10 月 9 日
6%
10 月 15 日
35%
10 月 23 日
62%
October 31
76%
$1,361,498 交易量
September 30
$129,836 交易量
4%
10 月 9 日
$2,050 交易量
6%
10 月 15 日
$21,654 交易量
35%
10 月 23 日
$1,392 交易量
62%
October 31
$37,909 交易量
76%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro large language model faces ongoing delays after the 3.5 Pro version was teased at I/O 2026 with a June target that slipped due to additional testing for agentic workflows, long-horizon tasks, and coding benchmarks. The company has instead maintained a rapid cadence of Flash variants, including Gemini 3.8 Flash releases in September 2026, while confirming that 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing without a firm public rollout date. Training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, reflecting competitive pressure from labs like OpenAI and Anthropic. Traders watch for any earnings call updates or developer announcements that could clarify timelines, as historical patterns show Pro releases trail Flash iterations and often encounter last-minute refinements before general availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
交易量
$1,361,498结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro large language model faces ongoing delays after the 3.5 Pro version was teased at I/O 2026 with a June target that slipped due to additional testing for agentic workflows, long-horizon tasks, and coding benchmarks. The company has instead maintained a rapid cadence of Flash variants, including Gemini 3.8 Flash releases in September 2026, while confirming that 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing without a firm public rollout date. Training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, reflecting competitive pressure from labs like OpenAI and Anthropic. Traders watch for any earnings call updates or developer announcements that could clarify timelines, as historical patterns show Pro releases trail Flash iterations and often encounter last-minute refinements before general availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,361,498结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETGoogle's next Gemini Pro large language model faces ongoing delays after the 3.5 Pro version was teased at I/O 2026 with a June target that slipped due to additional testing for agentic workflows, long-horizon tasks, and coding benchmarks. The company has instead maintained a rapid cadence of Flash variants, including Gemini 3.8 Flash releases in September 2026, while confirming that 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing without a firm public rollout date. Training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, reflecting competitive pressure from labs like OpenAI and Anthropic. Traders watch for any earnings call updates or developer announcements that could clarify timelines, as historical patterns show Pro releases trail Flash iterations and often encounter last-minute refinements before general availability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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