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政治·House Primary

NV-03共和党初选获胜者

icon for NV-03共和党初选获胜者
政治·House Primary

NV-03共和党初选获胜者

Martin O'Donnell 75.1%

Aury Nagy 9.7%

Tera Anderson <1%

Jeff Gunter <1%

Polymarket

$11,622 交易量

Martin O'Donnell 75.1%

Aury Nagy 9.7%

Tera Anderson <1%

Jeff Gunter <1%

Polymarket

$11,622 交易量

Martin O'Donnell

$7,894 交易量

78%

Aury Nagy

$1,226 交易量

21%

Tera Anderson

$1,094 交易量

1%

Jeff Gunter

$1,463 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Martin O'Donnell's commanding lead in the NV-03 Republican primary stems primarily from President Trump's endorsement, which consolidated support among voters and party activists ahead of the June 9 vote. The former video game composer, who placed fourth in the 2024 primary, has also benefited from substantial fundraising that outpaced rivals including neurosurgeon Aury Nagy, dermatologist Jeff Gunter, and businesswoman Tera Anderson. This combination of institutional backing and resources has shaped trader consensus around his path to nomination in the competitive Las Vegas-area district. Late vote tabulation or unforeseen disputes could still shift the final certified result, though current positioning indicates limited scope for such reversals.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$11,622
结束日期
2026-06-09
市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Martin O'Donnell's commanding lead in the NV-03 Republican primary stems primarily from President Trump's endorsement, which consolidated support among voters and party activists ahead of the June 9 vote. The former video game composer, who placed fourth in the 2024 primary, has also benefited from substantial fundraising that outpaced rivals including neurosurgeon Aury Nagy, dermatologist Jeff Gunter, and businesswoman Tera Anderson. This combination of institutional backing and resources has shaped trader consensus around his path to nomination in the competitive Las Vegas-area district. Late vote tabulation or unforeseen disputes could still shift the final certified result, though current positioning indicates limited scope for such reversals.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$11,622
结束日期
2026-06-09
市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"NV-03共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Martin O'Donnell"，概率为 78%，其次是"Aury Nagy"，概率为 21%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 78¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 78%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"NV-03共和党初选获胜者"已产生 $11.6K 的总交易量（自May 25, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"NV-03共和党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"NV-03共和党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"Martin O'Donnell"，概率为 78%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 78%。紧随其后的结果是"Aury Nagy"，概率为 21%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"NV-03共和党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。