Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani posting 20-39 times on X (@NYCMayor) from April 17 at 12:00 PM ET through April 24 at 70%, mirroring his consistent frequency of roughly three posts per day since inauguration on January 1, 2026. This pattern held steady through his first 100 days marked around April 10, with announcements on initiatives like city-owned grocery stores opening next year and municipal childcare expansions, alongside holiday messages for Easter, Vaisakhi, Yom HaShoah, and Tax Day on April 15. The prior week (April 7-14) aligned similarly without spikes, while a 2-K childcare jingle contest deadline on April 17 could prompt one additional reminder, but traders anticipate no major deviation from the baseline amid routine mayoral communications on policy and city services. Lower probabilities for 40+ reflect limited historical variance, emphasizing the market's focus on sustained posting rhythm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市长#职位2026年4月17日至24日?
纽约市长#职位2026年4月17日至24日?
20-39 68%
40-59 17%
80-99 11.9%
<20 7.0%
<20
7%
20-39
68%
40-59
16%
60-79
4%
80-99
7%
100-119
3%
120-139
1%
140-159
2%
160-179
1%
180-199
13%
200+
<1%
20-39 68%
40-59 17%
80-99 11.9%
<20 7.0%
<20
7%
20-39
68%
40-59
16%
60-79
4%
80-99
7%
100-119
3%
120-139
1%
140-159
2%
160-179
1%
180-199
13%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani posting 20-39 times on X (@NYCMayor) from April 17 at 12:00 PM ET through April 24 at 70%, mirroring his consistent frequency of roughly three posts per day since inauguration on January 1, 2026. This pattern held steady through his first 100 days marked around April 10, with announcements on initiatives like city-owned grocery stores opening next year and municipal childcare expansions, alongside holiday messages for Easter, Vaisakhi, Yom HaShoah, and Tax Day on April 15. The prior week (April 7-14) aligned similarly without spikes, while a 2-K childcare jingle contest deadline on April 17 could prompt one additional reminder, but traders anticipate no major deviation from the baseline amid routine mayoral communications on policy and city services. Lower probabilities for 40+ reflect limited historical variance, emphasizing the market's focus on sustained posting rhythm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题