Recent announcements from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven trader sentiment on commitments to third-party vetting. On September 12, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei pledged permanent, employee-level access for embedded independent evaluators, with OpenAI's Sam Altman quickly endorsing a similar approach and the company releasing detailed principles on September 22 for assessments spanning training, evaluation, and deployment of large language models. These moves reflect competitive dynamics among frontier AI labs amid growing safety concerns, though Google, Microsoft, Meta, and xAI have yet to match them, keeping their implied probabilities low near 20-23 percent. With the October 31 deadline approaching, upcoming statements from these labs or legislative developments could shift outcomes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$78,035 交易量
2026-10-31
SpaceXAI
28%
谷歌
27%
阿里巴巴
22%
微软
20%
Meta
20%
百度
20%
Moonshot
19%
DeepSeek
18%
美团
16%
Z.ai
15%
亚马逊
11%
字节跳动
10%
Mistral
4%
$78,035 交易量
SpaceXAI
$6,063 交易量
28%
谷歌
$13,394 交易量
27%
阿里巴巴
$5,059 交易量
22%
微软
$6,711 交易量
20%
Meta
$3,459 交易量
20%
百度
$1,004 交易量
20%
Moonshot
$11,960 交易量
19%
DeepSeek
$3,665 交易量
18%
美团
$1,181 交易量
16%
Z.ai
$2,649 交易量
15%
亚马逊
$8,208 交易量
11%
字节跳动
$4,322 交易量
10%
Mistral
$10,422 交易量
4%
On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent announcements from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven trader sentiment on commitments to third-party vetting. On September 12, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei pledged permanent, employee-level access for embedded independent evaluators, with OpenAI's Sam Altman quickly endorsing a similar approach and the company releasing detailed principles on September 22 for assessments spanning training, evaluation, and deployment of large language models. These moves reflect competitive dynamics among frontier AI labs amid growing safety concerns, though Google, Microsoft, Meta, and xAI have yet to match them, keeping their implied probabilities low near 20-23 percent. With the October 31 deadline approaching, upcoming statements from these labs or legislative developments could shift outcomes before resolution.
On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
交易量
$78,035结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ETOn September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent announcements from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven trader sentiment on commitments to third-party vetting. On September 12, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei pledged permanent, employee-level access for embedded independent evaluators, with OpenAI's Sam Altman quickly endorsing a similar approach and the company releasing detailed principles on September 22 for assessments spanning training, evaluation, and deployment of large language models. These moves reflect competitive dynamics among frontier AI labs amid growing safety concerns, though Google, Microsoft, Meta, and xAI have yet to match them, keeping their implied probabilities low near 20-23 percent. With the October 31 deadline approaching, upcoming statements from these labs or legislative developments could shift outcomes before resolution.
On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$78,035结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ETRecent announcements from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven trader sentiment on commitments to third-party vetting. On September 12, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei pledged permanent, employee-level access for embedded independent evaluators, with OpenAI's Sam Altman quickly endorsing a similar approach and the company releasing detailed principles on September 22 for assessments spanning training, evaluation, and deployment of large language models. These moves reflect competitive dynamics among frontier AI labs amid growing safety concerns, though Google, Microsoft, Meta, and xAI have yet to match them, keeping their implied probabilities low near 20-23 percent. With the October 31 deadline approaching, upcoming statements from these labs or legislative developments could shift outcomes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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