Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire and U.S. enforcement of a Strait of Hormuz blockade following failed initial peace talks, diplomats led by Pakistan are racing to schedule a second round of direct U.S.-Iran negotiations, potentially in Islamabad as early as this week per President Trump's statements. The prior April 12 session in Pakistan featured U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance heading the delegation with special envoy Steve Witkoff and advisor Jared Kushner opposite Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, but impasse over nuclear curbs, proxy forces, and maritime tensions persists. Trader sentiment hinges on likely continuity in U.S. personnel amid mediation pushes, with escalation risks if no deal emerges soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,119 交易量
Donald Trump
5%
Marco Rubio
10%
J.D. Vance
77%
Jared Kushner
77%
Steve Witkoff
87%
$14,119 交易量
Donald Trump
5%
Marco Rubio
10%
J.D. Vance
77%
Jared Kushner
77%
Steve Witkoff
87%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire and U.S. enforcement of a Strait of Hormuz blockade following failed initial peace talks, diplomats led by Pakistan are racing to schedule a second round of direct U.S.-Iran negotiations, potentially in Islamabad as early as this week per President Trump's statements. The prior April 12 session in Pakistan featured U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance heading the delegation with special envoy Steve Witkoff and advisor Jared Kushner opposite Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, but impasse over nuclear curbs, proxy forces, and maritime tensions persists. Trader sentiment hinges on likely continuity in U.S. personnel amid mediation pushes, with escalation risks if no deal emerges soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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