Voters approved the Nevada Right to Abortion Initiative in 2024 by roughly 64 percent, and state rules require a second affirmative vote in consecutive general elections for constitutional amendments to take effect. With the November 2026 ballot measure now approaching and no major shifts in polling, legislative action, or public campaigns reported that would reverse that margin, traders assign the "yes" outcome a 98.3 percent implied probability. The measure would embed existing viability-based protections into the constitution, limiting future legislative or judicial interference while preserving current statutory access. Remaining uncertainty stems from factors that could still narrow the margin, such as unusually low turnout among supportive voters, late legal rulings on related parental-notification provisions, or unexpected campaign developments in the final weeks before the election.