California's 3rd Congressional District underwent a major redraw via Proposition 50 in November 2025, shifting from a lightly Republican seat—where Trump won by under four points—to a Solid Democratic district that Harris carried by 10 points, per Cook Political Report, positioning Democrats as heavy favorites at 83.5% trader consensus. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Kiley switched to independent in March 2026 and is running in CA-06 instead, leaving a weak Republican primary field including underfunded challengers like Robb Tucker. Democrats feature frontrunner Rep. Ami Bera, who has raised $858,000—far outpacing rivals—alongside Heidi Hall and others ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where two candidates advance regardless of party. Recent fundraising reports and candidate forums reinforce Democratic dominance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCA-03 Wahlsieger
CA-03 Wahlsieger
$25,113 Vol.
$25,113 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
81%
Republikanische Partei
8%
$25,113 Vol.
$25,113 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$13,178 Vol.
81%
Republikanische Partei
$11,935 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 3rd Congressional District underwent a major redraw via Proposition 50 in November 2025, shifting from a lightly Republican seat—where Trump won by under four points—to a Solid Democratic district that Harris carried by 10 points, per Cook Political Report, positioning Democrats as heavy favorites at 83.5% trader consensus. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Kiley switched to independent in March 2026 and is running in CA-06 instead, leaving a weak Republican primary field including underfunded challengers like Robb Tucker. Democrats feature frontrunner Rep. Ami Bera, who has raised $858,000—far outpacing rivals—alongside Heidi Hall and others ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where two candidates advance regardless of party. Recent fundraising reports and candidate forums reinforce Democratic dominance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$25,113Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 3rd Congressional District underwent a major redraw via Proposition 50 in November 2025, shifting from a lightly Republican seat—where Trump won by under four points—to a Solid Democratic district that Harris carried by 10 points, per Cook Political Report, positioning Democrats as heavy favorites at 83.5% trader consensus. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Kiley switched to independent in March 2026 and is running in CA-06 instead, leaving a weak Republican primary field including underfunded challengers like Robb Tucker. Democrats feature frontrunner Rep. Ami Bera, who has raised $858,000—far outpacing rivals—alongside Heidi Hall and others ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where two candidates advance regardless of party. Recent fundraising reports and candidate forums reinforce Democratic dominance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,113Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 3rd Congressional District underwent a major redraw via Proposition 50 in November 2025, shifting from a lightly Republican seat—where Trump won by under four points—to a Solid Democratic district that Harris carried by 10 points, per Cook Political Report, positioning Democrats as heavy favorites at 83.5% trader consensus. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Kiley switched to independent in March 2026 and is running in CA-06 instead, leaving a weak Republican primary field including underfunded challengers like Robb Tucker. Democrats feature frontrunner Rep. Ami Bera, who has raised $858,000—far outpacing rivals—alongside Heidi Hall and others ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where two candidates advance regardless of party. Recent fundraising reports and candidate forums reinforce Democratic dominance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen