Tom Suozzi's incumbency and his 2024 narrow victory in the swing district covering Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens counties anchor the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. Both candidates secured decisive primary wins in June, setting up a rematch where Suozzi maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Democratic. Recent developments, including LiPetri's appearance at the Republican midterm convention, have not shifted fundamentals. Late national political swings, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or effective attacks on affordability and border issues could still narrow the margin before the November 3 contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$26,048 Vol.
$26,048 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
93%
Mike LiPetri (R)
8%
$26,048 Vol.
$26,048 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
$12,283 Vol.
93%
Mike LiPetri (R)
$13,765 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi's incumbency and his 2024 narrow victory in the swing district covering Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens counties anchor the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. Both candidates secured decisive primary wins in June, setting up a rematch where Suozzi maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Democratic. Recent developments, including LiPetri's appearance at the Republican midterm convention, have not shifted fundamentals. Late national political swings, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or effective attacks on affordability and border issues could still narrow the margin before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volumen
$26,048Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi's incumbency and his 2024 narrow victory in the swing district covering Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens counties anchor the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. Both candidates secured decisive primary wins in June, setting up a rematch where Suozzi maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Democratic. Recent developments, including LiPetri's appearance at the Republican midterm convention, have not shifted fundamentals. Late national political swings, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or effective attacks on affordability and border issues could still narrow the margin before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,048Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Suozzi's incumbency and his 2024 narrow victory in the swing district covering Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens counties anchor the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. Both candidates secured decisive primary wins in June, setting up a rematch where Suozzi maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Democratic. Recent developments, including LiPetri's appearance at the Republican midterm convention, have not shifted fundamentals. Late national political swings, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or effective attacks on affordability and border issues could still narrow the margin before the November 3 contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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