Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" at a 72% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, driven by four new Level 2 alerts issued in March 2026 for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, yellow fever in Venezuela, chikungunya in Mayotte, and circulating poliovirus globally, signaling escalating epidemiological risks from authoritative CDC surveillance. These follow a massive U.S. measles outbreak, with 1,792 confirmed cases across 37 jurisdictions as of April 23 amid suboptimal vaccination coverage and global measles upticks under Level 1 watch. Persistent H5N1 avian influenza monitoring shows low human transmission risk but animal reservoirs, while approaching winter respiratory season adds uncertainty. Key upcoming CDC weekly reports and WHO data could tip toward Level 3 if outbreaks intensify beyond current enhanced precautions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCDC gibt Warnung der Stufe 3 bis zum 31. Dezember aus?
CDC gibt Warnung der Stufe 3 bis zum 31. Dezember aus?
Ja
$113,885 Vol.
$113,885 Vol.
Ja
$113,885 Vol.
$113,885 Vol.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" at a 72% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, driven by four new Level 2 alerts issued in March 2026 for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, yellow fever in Venezuela, chikungunya in Mayotte, and circulating poliovirus globally, signaling escalating epidemiological risks from authoritative CDC surveillance. These follow a massive U.S. measles outbreak, with 1,792 confirmed cases across 37 jurisdictions as of April 23 amid suboptimal vaccination coverage and global measles upticks under Level 1 watch. Persistent H5N1 avian influenza monitoring shows low human transmission risk but animal reservoirs, while approaching winter respiratory season adds uncertainty. Key upcoming CDC weekly reports and WHO data could tip toward Level 3 if outbreaks intensify beyond current enhanced precautions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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