Trader sentiment on Austin's March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 86-91°F, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this range under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Texas. This subtropical ridge, fueled by persistent southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, favors the 90-91°F lead at 33.5%, edging out slightly cooler 86-87°F (27%) and 88-89°F (26%) outcomes amid model spread from minor timing differences in ridge axis placement. Recent soundings confirm dry air aloft reducing convective interference, while historical March data shows Austin averages 74°F but frequent 85°F+ spikes; resolution hinges on afternoon insolation and any late-day boundary layer mixing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Austin on March 26?
Highest temperature in Austin on March 26?
90-91°F 30%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 26%
86-87°F 26%
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
2%
90-91°F 30%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 26%
86-87°F 26%
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Austin's March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 86-91°F, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this range under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Texas. This subtropical ridge, fueled by persistent southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, favors the 90-91°F lead at 33.5%, edging out slightly cooler 86-87°F (27%) and 88-89°F (26%) outcomes amid model spread from minor timing differences in ridge axis placement. Recent soundings confirm dry air aloft reducing convective interference, while historical March data shows Austin averages 74°F but frequent 85°F+ spikes; resolution hinges on afternoon insolation and any late-day boundary layer mixing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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