Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 24–26°C (77% implied probability combined) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, reflecting close alignment in latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which forecast maxima near 25°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting warm northerly advection. Above-average autumn warmth persists after recent days exceeding 23°C, but diurnal peaks hinge on afternoon cloudiness from low-level moisture and sea-breeze timing, creating 1–2°C spreads that differentiate top outcomes—clearer skies favor 26°C, while increasing clouds cap at 24°C. Watch SMN's next advisory and 12Z model runs today for shifts ahead of tomorrow's peak heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 30%
25°C 26%
26°C 22%
23°C 12%
$17,230 Vol.
$17,230 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
12%
24°C
30%
25°C
26%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 30%
25°C 26%
26°C 22%
23°C 12%
$17,230 Vol.
$17,230 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
12%
24°C
30%
25°C
26%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 24–26°C (77% implied probability combined) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, reflecting close alignment in latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which forecast maxima near 25°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting warm northerly advection. Above-average autumn warmth persists after recent days exceeding 23°C, but diurnal peaks hinge on afternoon cloudiness from low-level moisture and sea-breeze timing, creating 1–2°C spreads that differentiate top outcomes—clearer skies favor 26°C, while increasing clouds cap at 24°C. Watch SMN's next advisory and 12Z model runs today for shifts ahead of tomorrow's peak heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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