Trader consensus clusters around 24-26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 22, led by 24°C at 27.5%, as latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converge on 24-26°C peaks amid mild autumn weather patterns. Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projects a maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, tempering any urban heat island buildup. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's cooler bias from stronger sea breeze influences versus GFS's slightly warmer outlook, against March historical averages of 24.5°C; tight odds reflect model spread narrowing post-recent updates, with observations ramping up as the date nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
24°C 27%
25°C 23%
26°C 16%
27°C 12%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
27%
25°C
23%
26°C
22%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
4%
24°C 27%
25°C 23%
26°C 16%
27°C 12%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
27%
25°C
23%
26°C
22%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 24-26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 22, led by 24°C at 27.5%, as latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converge on 24-26°C peaks amid mild autumn weather patterns. Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projects a maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, tempering any urban heat island buildup. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's cooler bias from stronger sea breeze influences versus GFS's slightly warmer outlook, against March historical averages of 24.5°C; tight odds reflect model spread narrowing post-recent updates, with observations ramping up as the date nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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