**Active monsoon conditions and an approaching western disturbance are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities evenly split across 29–33°C for Lucknow’s September 4 maximum.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered to heavy showers—forecast by the India Meteorological Department with 70–90% rain chances and isolated thunderstorms—limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus and historical September analogs under similar low-pressure setups show maxima typically settling near 30–32°C when rainfall is widespread, while clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow band most heavily, with the next IMD updates and refined numerical model runs expected to clarify timing and intensity of any heavier rain bands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 4. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 4. September?
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
29°C 20%
32°C 15%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
20%
30°C
30%
31°C
30%
32°C
15%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C oder höher
6%
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
29°C 20%
32°C 15%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
25°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
30%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C
$0 Vol.
15%
33°C
$0 Vol.
10%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active monsoon conditions and an approaching western disturbance are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities evenly split across 29–33°C for Lucknow’s September 4 maximum.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered to heavy showers—forecast by the India Meteorological Department with 70–90% rain chances and isolated thunderstorms—limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus and historical September analogs under similar low-pressure setups show maxima typically settling near 30–32°C when rainfall is widespread, while clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow band most heavily, with the next IMD updates and refined numerical model runs expected to clarify timing and intensity of any heavier rain bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active monsoon conditions and an approaching western disturbance are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities evenly split across 29–33°C for Lucknow’s September 4 maximum.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered to heavy showers—forecast by the India Meteorological Department with 70–90% rain chances and isolated thunderstorms—limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus and historical September analogs under similar low-pressure setups show maxima typically settling near 30–32°C when rainfall is widespread, while clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow band most heavily, with the next IMD updates and refined numerical model runs expected to clarify timing and intensity of any heavier rain bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Active monsoon conditions and an approaching western disturbance are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities evenly split across 29–33°C for Lucknow’s September 4 maximum.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered to heavy showers—forecast by the India Meteorological Department with 70–90% rain chances and isolated thunderstorms—limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus and historical September analogs under similar low-pressure setups show maxima typically settling near 30–32°C when rainfall is widespread, while clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow band most heavily, with the next IMD updates and refined numerical model runs expected to clarify timing and intensity of any heavier rain bands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen