Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh have moderated overnight cooling in Lucknow, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 24–26°C. Official IMD forecasts and multiple models indicate overcast skies with scattered thundershowers on September 3, which trap heat and humidity while limiting radiative cooling—key factors favoring outcomes around 25–27°C. Recent observations show daily minima of 25–26°C amid 80–95% humidity and light easterly winds. Market-implied odds remain closely split because shower timing, intensity, and any brief clear spells could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, with traders weighing model consensus against historical September variability. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 3. September?
21°C oder weniger 93%
31°C oder höher 64%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
21°C oder weniger
93%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
40%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C oder höher
64%
21°C oder weniger 93%
31°C oder höher 64%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
21°C oder weniger
93%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
40%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C oder höher
64%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh have moderated overnight cooling in Lucknow, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 24–26°C. Official IMD forecasts and multiple models indicate overcast skies with scattered thundershowers on September 3, which trap heat and humidity while limiting radiative cooling—key factors favoring outcomes around 25–27°C. Recent observations show daily minima of 25–26°C amid 80–95% humidity and light easterly winds. Market-implied odds remain closely split because shower timing, intensity, and any brief clear spells could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, with traders weighing model consensus against historical September variability. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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