The southwest monsoon has driven persistent cloud cover, scattered to widespread showers, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila on September 9, suppressing peak solar heating and limiting the daily maximum to near 30°C. Official PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded a high of 29.7°C amid 90–100% humidity and frequent rain, aligning with GFS and other model consensus that shows afternoon temperatures capped by evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This positioning reflects trader recognition of typical September climatology (seasonal highs averaging 30–31°C) under active monsoon conditions. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or a temporary weakening of the monsoon flow remain the primary realistic scenarios that could allow temperatures to exceed this level before the daily maximum is finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 9. September?
30°C 100.0%
23°C oder weniger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$30,480 Vol.
$30,480 Vol.
23°C oder weniger
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Ja
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder mehr
Nein
30°C 100.0%
23°C oder weniger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$30,480 Vol.
$30,480 Vol.
23°C oder weniger
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Ja
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder mehr
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The southwest monsoon has driven persistent cloud cover, scattered to widespread showers, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila on September 9, suppressing peak solar heating and limiting the daily maximum to near 30°C. Official PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded a high of 29.7°C amid 90–100% humidity and frequent rain, aligning with GFS and other model consensus that shows afternoon temperatures capped by evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This positioning reflects trader recognition of typical September climatology (seasonal highs averaging 30–31°C) under active monsoon conditions. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or a temporary weakening of the monsoon flow remain the primary realistic scenarios that could allow temperatures to exceed this level before the daily maximum is finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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